Copernicus: Warmer than Average February and Winter 2022

 Copernicus: Warmer than Average February and Winter 2022

Copernicus: Europe experienced a warmer than average February and winter, and the daily sea ice extent around Antarctica reached its lowest value on record during February.

The Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S), implemented by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) on behalf of the European Commission with funding from the EU, routinely publishes monthly climate bulletins reporting on the changes observed in global surface air temperaturesea ice cover and hydrological variables. All the reported findings are based on computer-generated analyses using billions of measurements from satellites, ships, aircraft and weather stations around the world.

February 2022 surface air temperature

  • The global average temperature for February 2022 was about 0.2ºC higher than the 1991-2020 average for February
  • This was well below February values for 2016, 2017 and 2020, and broadly similar to values for five other Februarys between 1998 and 2019
  • Temperatures were much above average over western and northern Russia and parts of the Arctic Ocean, and much below average over large parts of North America and China
  • Europe as a whole was more than 2ºC warmer than average, yet 1.6°C cooler than the warmest February (February 1990) in the record dating back to 1979

Temperature boreal winter 2022 (December 2021 – February 2022)

  • Boreal winter temperatures in 2021/22 were much above average over south-eastern Europe and western Asia, and much below average over a large part of Canada
  • Winter for Europe as a whole was almost 1ºC warmer than the 1991-2020 average
Surface air temperature anomaly for boreal winter from December 2021 to February 2022 relative to the winter average for 1991-2020. Data source: ERA5. Credit: Copernicus Climate Change Service/ECMWF
Surface air temperature anomaly for boreal winter from December 2021 to February 2022 relative to the winter average for 1991-2020. Data source: ERA5. Credit: Copernicus Climate Change Service/ECMWF.

Sea ice February 2022

  • Antarctic sea ice extent was 27% below the 1991-2020 average for February, ranking 2nd lowest in this 44-year data record, with large areas of below average sea ice concentration in the Ross, western Amundsen, and northern Weddell Seas.
  • During February, daily sea ice extent around Antarctica reached its lowest value on record.
  • Arctic sea ice extent was just 2% below the 1991-2020 average, continuing the pattern of below average but not extremely low extents seen since July 2021.
Time series of Antarctic daily sea ice extent for 2017 (blue), 2018 (green) and 2022 (red). The plot shows in grey shades the daily median (solid line), interdecile range (light shading) and interquartile range (dark shading) during 1991-2020, as well as the daily minimum and maximum during 1979–2022 (dashed lines). Data source: EUMETSAT OSI SAF Sea Ice Index v2.1. Credit: C3S/ECMWF/EUMETSAT
Time series of Antarctic daily sea ice extent for 2017 (blue), 2018 (green) and 2022 (red). The plot shows in grey shades the daily median (solid line), interdecile range (light shading) and interquartile range (dark shading) during 1991-2020, as well as the daily minimum and maximum during 1979–2022 (dashed lines). Data source: EUMETSAT OSI SAF Sea Ice Index v2.1. Credit: C3S/ECMWF/EUMETSAT.
Left: Average Antarctic sea ice concentration for February 2022. The thick orange line denotes the climatological ice edge for February for the period 1991-2020. Right: Antarctic sea ice concentration anomalies for February 2022 relative to the February average for the period 1991-2020. Data source: ERA5. Credit: Copernicus Climate Change Service/ECMWF
Left: Average Antarctic sea ice concentration for February 2022. The thick orange line denotes the climatological ice edge for February for the period 1991-2020. Right: Antarctic sea ice concentration anomalies for February 2022 relative to the February average for the period 1991-2020. Data source: ERA5. Credit: Copernicus Climate Change Service/ECMWF.

Maps and quoted data values for temperature are from ECMWF Copernicus Climate Change Service’s ERA5 dataset. Area averages for temperature over the European region are for land only with the following longitude/latitude bounds: 25W-40E, 34N-72N.

Maps and quoted data values for sea ice are drawn from a combination of information from ERA5, as well as from the EUMETSAT OSI SAF Sea Ice Index v2.1, Sea Ice Concentration CDR/ICDR v2 and fast-track data provided upon request by OSI SAF.  

C3S has followed the recommendation of the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) to use the most recent 30-year period for calculating climatological averages and changed to the reference period of 1991-2020 for its C3S Climate Bulletins covering January 2021 onward. Figures and graphics for both the new and previous period (1981-2010) are provided for transparency.

More information

More information about climate variables in February and climate updates of previous months as well as high-resolution graphics and the video can be downloaded here:

https://climate.copernicus.eu/monthly-climate-bulletins

More information about the C3S data set and how it is compiled can be found here:

https://climate.copernicus.eu/climate-bulletin-about-data-and-analysis

More information on the switch of the reference period, can be found here:

https://climate.copernicus.eu/new-decade-reference-period-change-climate-data

Answers to frequently asked questions regarding temperature monitoring can be found here:

https://climate.copernicus.eu/temperature-qas

Remco Timmermans

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